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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.56+10.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.79vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+6.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+7.19vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.90vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+1.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.08+3.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.32vs Predicted
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92.13+0.47vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.24+1.71vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.70-1.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.75vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-1.50vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.37-2.81vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.44-3.58vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-10.10vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-1.38-5.93vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.42-11.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.09University of Pennsylvania1.563.7%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.7511.8%1st Place
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9.91Tulane University2.213.7%1st Place
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11.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.7%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.295.3%1st Place
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7.59Boston College2.568.6%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University2.084.4%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Naval Academy2.163.9%1st Place
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9.472.135.3%1st Place
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11.71George Washington University1.243.1%1st Place
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9.32Cornell University1.705.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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11.19Georgetown University1.373.2%1st Place
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11.42Old Dominion University1.443.0%1st Place
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5.9Stanford University2.6111.3%1st Place
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11.07Jacksonville University-1.382.8%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.4210.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Majernik | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Dana Haig | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.