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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+5.31vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.78vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.47+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.41-0.16vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.99+3.16vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.72-2.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.69-3.35vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.56vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+0.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.42-1.88vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.86+0.85vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.41+0.67vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.59-2.22vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.91-2.47vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.09-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of Southern California1.717.5%1st Place
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5.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.928.8%1st Place
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6.85San Diego State University1.476.5%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.4118.9%1st Place
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8.16Arizona State University0.993.5%1st Place
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3.27Stanford University2.7225.1%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.8%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Berkeley0.863.4%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Cruz1.698.2%1st Place
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8.44California State University Channel Islands0.823.5%1st Place
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11.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.6%1st Place
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10.12University of California at San Diego0.422.1%1st Place
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13.85San Diego State University-0.860.4%1st Place
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14.67Arizona State University-1.410.4%1st Place
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12.78Santa Clara University-0.590.5%1st Place
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13.53San Diego State University-0.910.8%1st Place
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13.75Arizona State University-1.090.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.9% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 25.1% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 33.6% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.