Race 5A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Fox 33.6% 28.0% 17.7% 11.7% 6.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 5.2% 8.7% 10.9% 16.4% 18.8% 18.1% 12.1% 7.1% 2.7% 0.0%
Brendan Boylan 31.3% 25.4% 18.8% 13.0% 7.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Justin Cohler 9.5% 12.9% 16.7% 16.2% 16.1% 15.8% 8.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Adam Flanders 2.8% 3.8% 7.3% 8.4% 12.5% 14.2% 19.7% 17.8% 13.5% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.4% 3.7% 6.8% 8.2% 11.4% 16.3% 23.5% 17.4% 9.3% 0.0%
Allison Prange 10.4% 15.2% 15.8% 19.1% 16.1% 13.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Timothy McElreath 1.9% 1.1% 3.0% 4.2% 5.9% 8.8% 13.6% 27.8% 33.7% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.4% 3.7% 6.8% 8.2% 11.4% 16.3% 23.5% 17.4% 9.3% 0.0%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.9% 1.2% 3.0% 2.8% 5.1% 8.2% 14.5% 24.0% 39.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.