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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+8.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.56+7.03vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+0.93vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42+0.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+2.03vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.21+1.88vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.24+2.83vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-0.61vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.16-0.41vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-1.14vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-2.50vs Predicted
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152.13-5.42vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-7.96vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.44-5.66vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.37-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Harvard University2.084.7%1st Place
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7.49Boston College2.568.6%1st Place
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5.64Dartmouth College2.7513.8%1st Place
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11.03University of Pennsylvania1.563.3%1st Place
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5.93Stanford University2.6112.3%1st Place
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6.48Yale University2.4210.2%1st Place
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9.03Brown University2.295.1%1st Place
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9.88Tulane University2.213.6%1st Place
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11.83George Washington University1.242.7%1st Place
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9.39Cornell University1.705.5%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy2.163.2%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University-1.383.0%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.9%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College1.482.7%1st Place
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9.582.134.5%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.0%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University1.443.2%1st Place
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11.27Georgetown University1.373.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.