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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+8.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+4.40vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.44+8.62vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.70+5.31vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+0.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+3.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.49vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.21+1.81vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+2.44vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-2.34vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.56+0.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.84vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-1.92vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.61-8.15vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.24-3.02vs Predicted
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162.13-6.44vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-6.08vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.29-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Harvard University2.084.5%1st Place
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6.4Yale University2.4210.0%1st Place
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11.62Old Dominion University1.443.5%1st Place
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9.31Cornell University1.705.8%1st Place
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5.69Dartmouth College2.7513.2%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.295.5%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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9.81Tulane University2.214.5%1st Place
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11.44Bowdoin College1.482.5%1st Place
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7.66Boston College2.566.7%1st Place
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11.15University of Pennsylvania1.563.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.1%1st Place
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11.08Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.6112.2%1st Place
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11.98George Washington University1.242.4%1st Place
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9.562.134.7%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.4%1st Place
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10.74Georgetown University1.293.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.6% |
| Dana Haig | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.