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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+0.79vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut-0.26+1.04vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-1.27+1.07vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.22-1.50vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.86-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.5%1st Place
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3.04University of Connecticut-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.07Wesleyan University-1.270.1%1st Place
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2.5Fairfield University0.220.2%1st Place
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3.61Sacred Heart University-0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Orgill | 51.3% | 27.0% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 12.6% | 20.3% | 30.8% | 23.5% | 12.8% |
| Josh Atchley | 5.2% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 51.7% |
| Eric Sowell | 22.7% | 31.5% | 24.8% | 15.6% | 5.4% |
| Colby Jennings | 8.2% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 33.6% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.