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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+0.78vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.22+0.50vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-1.27+1.05vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-0.86-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.26-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.5%1st Place
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2.5Fairfield University0.220.2%1st Place
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4.05Wesleyan University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.67Sacred Heart University-0.860.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Connecticut-0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Orgill | 52.1% | 26.5% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Eric Sowell | 22.0% | 31.6% | 25.9% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Josh Atchley | 5.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.0% | 51.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 6.6% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 32.0% | 30.3% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 14.3% | 21.1% | 27.4% | 25.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.