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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+8.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.61vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.44+8.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+4.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+4.70vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.70+3.35vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75-1.32vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+3.54vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.38+1.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.73vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.61-5.13vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-0.67vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.56-1.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.42-7.59vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.29-4.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.16-5.60vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-5.11vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.21-8.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Harvard University2.084.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.567.7%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University1.443.2%1st Place
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8.95Brown University2.295.6%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.5%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University1.704.9%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College2.7513.4%1st Place
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11.54Bowdoin College1.483.5%1st Place
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10.69Jacksonville University-1.383.8%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.9%1st Place
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5.87Stanford University2.6111.5%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Pennsylvania1.563.5%1st Place
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6.41Yale University2.429.8%1st Place
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10.93Georgetown University1.293.4%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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11.89George Washington University1.243.2%1st Place
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9.8Tulane University2.214.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% |
| Emily Allen | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.