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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.44+10.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+3.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.85vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+1.76vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+4.21vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+3.90vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-0.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-0.03vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48+1.49vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.08-1.05vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.56-0.94vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-5.63vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-3.14vs Predicted
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152.13-5.46vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-4.86vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.96-4.31vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.37-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.29Old Dominion University1.442.5%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University2.6112.4%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.8%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College2.7511.8%1st Place
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9.21Cornell University1.705.3%1st Place
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9.9Tulane University2.215.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.4211.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Naval Academy2.163.9%1st Place
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8.97Brown University2.294.9%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College1.482.9%1st Place
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9.95Harvard University2.083.9%1st Place
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11.06University of Pennsylvania1.564.0%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.569.2%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University-1.382.7%1st Place
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9.542.134.7%1st Place
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11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.9%1st Place
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12.69George Washington University0.962.2%1st Place
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11.4Georgetown University1.372.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Dana Haig | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 18.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.