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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+4.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+2.85vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.08+5.89vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+4.50vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+3.87vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-0.68vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.44+3.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.56+1.04vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.32vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-4.56vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-1.75vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24-2.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.16-4.35vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.37-4.68vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-7.45vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University-1.38-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Dartmouth College2.7512.8%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.2%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.6111.6%1st Place
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9.89Harvard University2.085.1%1st Place
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9.5Cornell University1.705.8%1st Place
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9.87Tulane University2.214.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.4210.3%1st Place
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11.47Old Dominion University1.442.5%1st Place
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8.94Brown University2.296.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Pennsylvania1.563.6%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.9%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.568.3%1st Place
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11.25Bowdoin College1.483.3%1st Place
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11.72George Washington University1.243.1%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Naval Academy2.163.0%1st Place
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11.32Georgetown University1.372.5%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.7%1st Place
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11.01Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% |
| Dana Haig | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.