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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.70+8.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.20vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+3.51vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+1.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+4.59vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+5.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+4.28vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+3.34vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-1.21vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.21-0.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-1.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.45vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.08-3.04vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.61-8.40vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-4.21vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.56-5.09vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.44-5.40vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.24-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59Cornell University1.704.7%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.6%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.4210.3%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College2.7512.8%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.5%1st Place
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11.21Georgetown University1.373.7%1st Place
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11.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.9%1st Place
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11.34Bowdoin College1.483.4%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.566.9%1st Place
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9.83Tulane University2.214.7%1st Place
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9.01Brown University2.295.7%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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9.96Harvard University2.084.3%1st Place
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5.6Stanford University2.6112.3%1st Place
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10.79Jacksonville University-1.384.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Pennsylvania1.563.6%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University1.442.5%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University1.242.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.