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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+4.82vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+9.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+7.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+5.03vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+4.34vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.44+5.39vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.37+4.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.03vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-2.64vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.21-0.10vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.56+0.14vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.61-6.22vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-5.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.16-3.55vs Predicted
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152.13-5.38vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-4.78vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.24-5.44vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University-1.38-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Dartmouth College2.7512.1%1st Place
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11.53Bowdoin College1.482.9%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.084.2%1st Place
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9.03Brown University2.295.3%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University1.705.7%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University1.443.3%1st Place
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11.32Georgetown University1.373.3%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.7%1st Place
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6.36Yale University2.4210.8%1st Place
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9.9Tulane University2.214.8%1st Place
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11.14University of Pennsylvania1.563.3%1st Place
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5.78Stanford University2.6111.8%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.567.8%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy2.163.6%1st Place
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9.622.134.6%1st Place
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11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.5%1st Place
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11.56George Washington University1.242.9%1st Place
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10.89Jacksonville University-1.383.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% |
| Dana Haig | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
| Emily Allen | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.