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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+6.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.66vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+2.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+2.28vs Predicted
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52.13+4.70vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+5.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.44+3.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.24+2.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.29vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-1.99vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.08-2.02vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-3.66vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.37-2.61vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-3.79vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.21-6.21vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.56-5.80vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University-1.38-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Boston College2.567.4%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College2.7512.3%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.6113.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University2.4211.5%1st Place
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9.72.135.2%1st Place
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11.65Bowdoin College1.482.8%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.9%1st Place
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11.24Old Dominion University1.443.2%1st Place
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11.7George Washington University1.242.8%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.164.3%1st Place
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9.01Brown University2.295.4%1st Place
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9.98Harvard University2.084.0%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University1.704.8%1st Place
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11.39Georgetown University1.372.8%1st Place
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11.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.4%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University2.215.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Pennsylvania1.563.1%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University-1.383.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Emily Allen | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.