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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+5.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+6.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.16+7.48vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.21+5.91vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+0.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.08+3.95vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+4.42vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.56+3.08vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.81vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.37+0.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-0.58vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.24-1.24vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-3.04vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-9.30vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-8.50vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.44-5.52vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Yale University2.4210.1%1st Place
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8.98Brown University2.294.7%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy2.163.1%1st Place
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9.91Tulane University2.214.0%1st Place
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5.71Stanford University2.6112.7%1st Place
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9.95Harvard University2.084.7%1st Place
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11.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.5%1st Place
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11.08University of Pennsylvania1.564.5%1st Place
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9.42Cornell University1.704.5%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgetown University1.373.0%1st Place
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11.42Bowdoin College1.483.1%1st Place
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11.76George Washington University1.243.0%1st Place
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10.96Jacksonville University-1.383.6%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College2.7513.2%1st Place
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7.5Boston College2.567.8%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University1.442.9%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% |
| Emily Allen | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.