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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.85+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.72+0.63vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.57+1.34vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.56+1.97vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.36-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.75-2.01vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.35-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.44-2.74vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.56-4.03vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.26-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
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2.63University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
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4.34Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.97Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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4.58Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Minnesota1.750.1%1st Place
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7.52Hope College-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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5.97Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.33Michigan Technological University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fox | 34.3% | 27.2% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 28.7% | 25.2% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison Prange | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Laine Klopfenstein | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 25.8% | 39.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Flanders | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy McElreath | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 26.0% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.