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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Fox 34.3% 27.2% 18.5% 10.9% 6.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Boylan 28.7% 25.2% 20.1% 13.5% 7.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Justin Cohler 8.2% 12.1% 14.5% 18.0% 16.8% 16.2% 9.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.6% 3.8% 6.0% 10.0% 13.3% 15.9% 22.0% 16.3% 9.1% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 7.7% 10.5% 15.3% 14.9% 15.8% 16.2% 11.5% 5.9% 2.2% 0.0%
Allison Prange 11.4% 12.9% 15.0% 21.1% 17.5% 13.1% 6.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.3% 1.6% 3.2% 2.2% 4.8% 8.3% 13.1% 25.8% 39.7% 0.0%
Adam Flanders 3.0% 4.3% 5.0% 5.9% 12.9% 16.0% 20.3% 19.9% 12.7% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.6% 3.8% 6.0% 10.0% 13.3% 15.9% 22.0% 16.3% 9.1% 0.0%
Timothy McElreath 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 3.5% 5.5% 8.7% 15.1% 26.0% 34.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.