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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+3.35vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.47+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.42+5.08vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.69-3.40vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.86+3.83vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+0.47vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.82-3.36vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.99-4.82vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.59-1.38vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.09-1.16vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.41-1.54vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.91-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Stanford University2.7223.7%1st Place
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3.91University of Hawaii2.4118.6%1st Place
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6.35University of Southern California1.716.5%1st Place
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6.8San Diego State University1.476.2%1st Place
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10.08University of California at San Diego0.422.5%1st Place
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5.89California Poly Maritime Academy1.928.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.7%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley0.863.6%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Santa Cruz1.6910.2%1st Place
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13.83San Diego State University-0.860.4%1st Place
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11.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.3%1st Place
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8.64California State University Channel Islands0.823.8%1st Place
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8.18Arizona State University0.993.6%1st Place
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12.62Santa Clara University-0.590.9%1st Place
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13.84Arizona State University-1.090.6%1st Place
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14.46Arizona State University-1.410.6%1st Place
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13.41San Diego State University-0.910.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 23.7% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juan Casal | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 21.8% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 31.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.