Race 1A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Allyson Donahue 12.2% 11.7% 12.6% 10.0% 10.9% 11.2% 8.8% 7.7% 6.7% 3.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 10.8% 12.1% 11.0% 10.2% 11.3% 9.3% 8.3% 8.5% 6.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Charles Lalumiere 16.2% 14.5% 12.5% 12.1% 11.4% 10.1% 8.6% 5.9% 3.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Samuel Cushing 5.4% 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 8.5% 7.1% 9.1% 9.9% 10.0% 10.0% 9.3% 5.1% 2.2%
Joseph Paggi 7.6% 7.1% 7.1% 8.5% 8.6% 7.6% 7.9% 10.4% 9.7% 9.6% 8.4% 6.1% 1.4%
Nathan Allman 12.6% 10.0% 12.5% 11.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.0% 7.2% 7.2% 5.0% 3.3% 2.1% 0.2%
Michael Booker 12.3% 11.6% 11.2% 9.7% 10.4% 10.9% 8.3% 7.3% 7.3% 6.3% 2.6% 1.8% 0.3%
John Silvestri 4.4% 7.0% 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 7.5% 8.5% 11.2% 9.4% 12.5% 10.8% 7.8% 4.2%
Juan Perdomo 8.2% 7.9% 9.2% 10.2% 7.6% 9.6% 10.9% 8.1% 9.1% 8.0% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9%
Sean Willerford 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 5.6% 7.1% 8.8% 14.7% 20.4% 24.1%
Edward Moan 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 3.2% 5.3% 5.5% 8.8% 14.3% 19.7% 29.7%
William Dykes 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 4.5% 4.3% 6.5% 6.5% 11.8% 21.8% 32.7%
Conor Fowler 5.2% 5.3% 6.2% 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 9.4% 8.6% 10.8% 11.5% 10.7% 8.1% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.