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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+7.74vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+3.84vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.70+6.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.56+6.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+5.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.84vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.08+2.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.67vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-1.38+0.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48+0.60vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.21-2.35vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-7.28vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24-2.37vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.44-3.57vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-8.42vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-5.71vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Brown University2.295.3%1st Place
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5.84Stanford University2.6111.8%1st Place
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9.33Cornell University1.705.5%1st Place
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6.43Yale University2.4210.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Pennsylvania1.563.2%1st Place
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11.52Georgetown University1.372.5%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.4%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University2.084.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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10.91Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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11.6Bowdoin College1.482.5%1st Place
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9.65Tulane University2.214.8%1st Place
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5.72Dartmouth College2.7513.5%1st Place
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11.63George Washington University1.243.5%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University1.442.9%1st Place
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7.58Boston College2.568.1%1st Place
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11.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.8%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 12.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.