Race 2A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joseph Paggi 6.6% 6.1% 7.7% 8.8% 7.7% 7.0% 10.0% 8.7% 10.7% 11.3% 8.1% 5.6% 1.7%
Nathan Allman 11.3% 10.9% 10.3% 13.3% 9.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.1% 7.5% 5.6% 2.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Charles Lalumiere 15.4% 15.4% 13.1% 10.4% 13.0% 10.7% 6.9% 5.5% 6.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 4.5% 5.7% 6.4% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 9.5% 9.6% 12.5% 10.8% 7.3% 3.5%
Michael Booker 12.2% 12.1% 11.5% 10.0% 8.9% 10.6% 9.8% 8.0% 7.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Juan Perdomo 9.0% 8.4% 8.4% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 10.3% 9.2% 8.2% 8.0% 6.6% 3.6% 0.5%
John Silvestri 6.0% 5.1% 6.7% 6.4% 5.3% 6.3% 8.4% 8.8% 10.9% 11.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.7%
Allyson Donahue 12.8% 12.7% 10.5% 10.1% 11.3% 10.2% 11.2% 7.2% 6.1% 3.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.5% 11.4% 11.3% 8.8% 11.4% 10.2% 8.2% 8.2% 6.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Edward Moan 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 5.1% 5.5% 8.7% 12.2% 21.5% 30.8%
Samuel Cushing 6.2% 6.8% 7.8% 9.0% 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 11.5% 9.4% 8.3% 8.9% 4.2% 1.6%
Sean Willerford 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 4.9% 3.8% 5.1% 5.4% 9.1% 14.8% 20.4% 26.0%
William Dykes 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 1.2% 2.1% 3.6% 2.6% 5.1% 6.5% 8.4% 13.0% 22.0% 30.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.