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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+4.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+4.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+6.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+6.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.44+6.49vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+3.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+0.65vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37+3.39vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+2.27vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-0.73vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-0.26vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-3.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.56-3.02vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.24-3.09vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-7.81vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-5.61vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.75-12.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Stanford University2.6112.6%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.4211.8%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University2.083.9%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy2.164.5%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University1.442.7%1st Place
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9.97Tulane University2.214.5%1st Place
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7.65Boston College2.567.5%1st Place
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11.39Georgetown University1.373.0%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College1.483.4%1st Place
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9.27Cornell University1.705.1%1st Place
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10.74Jacksonville University-1.383.5%1st Place
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8.83Brown University2.296.2%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.7%1st Place
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10.98University of Pennsylvania1.563.0%1st Place
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11.91George Washington University1.242.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.5%1st Place
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11.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.6%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College2.7512.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Emily Allen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Dana Haig | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.