Race 3A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Booker 11.6% 10.0% 12.3% 11.2% 9.3% 11.3% 8.0% 9.5% 6.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Joseph Paggi 6.3% 7.6% 7.2% 6.9% 7.4% 8.7% 9.7% 10.6% 9.4% 10.5% 8.1% 4.9% 2.7%
Juan Perdomo 7.5% 8.5% 9.3% 8.6% 10.5% 9.8% 8.0% 9.4% 11.4% 7.5% 5.0% 3.6% 0.9%
Conor Fowler 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.7% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 8.8% 11.6% 11.1% 7.7% 3.5%
Nathan Allman 11.3% 12.8% 10.9% 9.4% 10.5% 9.7% 10.7% 8.3% 5.1% 5.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Edward Moan 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 3.4% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 6.2% 8.4% 11.2% 22.1% 32.0%
Allyson Donahue 13.8% 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 10.5% 9.5% 8.8% 7.1% 7.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Samuel Cushing 6.6% 7.3% 6.7% 8.5% 8.3% 8.2% 9.1% 9.5% 10.3% 12.3% 7.2% 3.7% 2.3%
John Silvestri 5.8% 5.4% 3.8% 6.9% 7.0% 5.8% 8.3% 8.6% 12.0% 9.6% 12.5% 10.0% 4.3%
Charles Lalumiere 16.9% 14.9% 15.7% 10.5% 10.5% 7.6% 8.1% 5.2% 4.9% 3.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Sean Willerford 2.1% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.2% 6.5% 9.4% 16.1% 20.2% 20.5%
William Dykes 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 4.0% 2.3% 4.7% 5.1% 6.7% 14.4% 20.9% 32.4%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 10.5% 10.9% 10.0% 11.3% 10.7% 9.8% 10.5% 8.4% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.