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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+9.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+6.83vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+6.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.56+6.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75-0.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.44+4.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.55vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-3.32vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-0.30vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-3.39vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.24-0.38vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-1.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-5.84vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.48-3.62vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.37-4.72vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.21-7.27vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.70-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96Jacksonville University-1.383.0%1st Place
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8.83Brown University2.295.2%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University2.084.5%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.4211.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Pennsylvania1.562.8%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College2.7511.8%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University1.442.7%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.163.0%1st Place
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5.68Stanford University2.6113.7%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.134.8%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.568.2%1st Place
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11.62George Washington University1.242.9%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.6%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.1%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College1.482.9%1st Place
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11.28Georgetown University1.373.4%1st Place
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9.73Tulane University2.215.0%1st Place
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9.44Cornell University1.704.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.