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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+5.45vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+2.74vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.70+5.56vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+2.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.08+4.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.56vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+3.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.94vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.24+1.66vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+0.29vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.21-2.22vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-4.13vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.56-2.77vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.37-3.81vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-5.19vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-7.49vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.44-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Yale University2.429.0%1st Place
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5.71Dartmouth College2.7513.1%1st Place
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5.74Stanford University2.6112.8%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University1.704.7%1st Place
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7.47Boston College2.567.2%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.084.6%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Naval Academy2.164.0%1st Place
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11.64Bowdoin College1.482.4%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.1%1st Place
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11.66George Washington University1.242.9%1st Place
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11.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.352.8%1st Place
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9.78Tulane University2.214.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.295.9%1st Place
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11.23University of Pennsylvania1.563.4%1st Place
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11.19Georgetown University1.373.8%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University-1.383.8%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.135.1%1st Place
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11.46Old Dominion University1.443.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% |
| Emily Allen | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.