Race 4A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Allman 12.2% 10.5% 11.3% 10.7% 11.0% 8.1% 8.9% 9.9% 7.3% 4.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Charles Lalumiere 16.1% 13.1% 15.6% 11.9% 10.1% 10.3% 7.8% 5.5% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.0% 10.0% 11.9% 10.6% 9.2% 11.2% 9.1% 9.1% 7.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Juan Perdomo 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 11.1% 9.9% 7.9% 9.5% 9.5% 8.0% 8.0% 7.5% 3.3% 0.7%
Conor Fowler 6.7% 5.8% 5.3% 7.8% 8.3% 7.7% 7.0% 10.0% 10.7% 10.6% 9.7% 7.4% 3.0%
Samuel Cushing 7.3% 6.8% 8.0% 7.1% 9.5% 7.5% 9.4% 11.1% 7.7% 8.2% 9.5% 5.8% 2.1%
Joseph Paggi 7.5% 6.9% 8.5% 7.4% 6.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.7% 9.6% 11.5% 7.4% 5.9% 1.7%
Michael Booker 11.1% 12.9% 9.9% 8.8% 12.0% 10.3% 10.8% 8.1% 6.3% 4.7% 2.9% 2.0% 0.2%
John Silvestri 5.0% 6.2% 4.7% 5.5% 6.2% 7.9% 7.8% 8.4% 11.3% 11.6% 11.9% 8.5% 5.0%
Edward Moan 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 5.2% 8.4% 12.7% 22.1% 31.1%
Sean Willerford 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 3.7% 3.8% 4.1% 4.8% 4.2% 7.8% 11.1% 14.2% 20.1% 20.9%
Allyson Donahue 11.0% 13.4% 11.0% 10.7% 9.1% 10.4% 10.3% 6.8% 8.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.4%
William Dykes 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.6% 2.3% 3.9% 5.9% 8.5% 14.1% 18.9% 34.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.