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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+8.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+6.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+4.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+2.46vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+4.42vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.44+5.35vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.61-1.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.08vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-3.42vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.210.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.16-0.41vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.37-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.56-1.85vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24-2.25vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-5.41vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.48-4.41vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-5.83vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University-1.38-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97Harvard University2.084.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University2.297.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.567.2%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.429.6%1st Place
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9.42Cornell University1.704.5%1st Place
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11.35Old Dominion University1.443.5%1st Place
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5.9Stanford University2.6112.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.7%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College2.7512.3%1st Place
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10.0Tulane University2.214.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy2.163.9%1st Place
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11.25Georgetown University1.373.5%1st Place
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11.15University of Pennsylvania1.563.5%1st Place
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11.75George Washington University1.243.5%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.135.3%1st Place
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11.59Bowdoin College1.483.0%1st Place
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.353.2%1st Place
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10.74Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.9% |
| Dana Haig | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.