Race 5A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lalumiere 15.8% 15.0% 14.1% 10.9% 11.2% 11.2% 7.0% 5.5% 4.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Michael Booker 12.1% 10.7% 11.5% 9.9% 11.3% 8.1% 9.7% 8.9% 7.8% 4.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Joseph Paggi 5.5% 7.1% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0% 9.8% 8.1% 10.0% 10.3% 11.6% 9.0% 4.2% 2.4%
Conor Fowler 4.4% 6.2% 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 7.3% 10.2% 8.5% 9.5% 11.8% 11.5% 6.7% 3.6%
Edward Moan 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 3.8% 2.9% 4.5% 5.9% 8.4% 13.8% 21.5% 28.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.5% 10.6% 12.1% 10.4% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 7.4% 6.8% 5.3% 4.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Allyson Donahue 12.9% 12.4% 11.3% 11.7% 11.3% 9.1% 8.0% 7.6% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Nathan Allman 11.2% 11.7% 11.1% 12.9% 7.7% 11.3% 10.2% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2% 2.7% 2.0% 0.2%
Samuel Cushing 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 8.0% 8.9% 10.9% 10.6% 10.5% 7.5% 6.3% 2.3%
Juan Perdomo 9.7% 8.1% 8.5% 8.7% 10.5% 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 8.6% 9.5% 5.2% 3.7% 1.4%
John Silvestri 4.6% 6.1% 5.3% 7.0% 7.7% 6.5% 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 11.0% 10.2% 7.9% 4.1%
William Dykes 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.4% 13.1% 21.6% 32.2%
Sean Willerford 1.6% 2.3% 1.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.7% 7.4% 8.3% 15.8% 21.1% 24.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.