Race 6A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Booker 11.8% 10.6% 11.8% 10.1% 10.3% 10.2% 10.1% 8.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Charles Lalumiere 15.9% 14.5% 13.3% 13.0% 10.2% 9.1% 7.9% 5.8% 4.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathan Allman 9.8% 11.2% 13.0% 9.3% 9.7% 11.1% 10.0% 8.0% 6.8% 5.9% 3.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Juan Perdomo 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 10.0% 11.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.0% 9.1% 8.6% 7.4% 2.7% 1.3%
Edward Moan 2.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 4.4% 6.2% 7.9% 14.0% 21.1% 29.3%
Joseph Paggi 6.8% 7.1% 8.5% 7.2% 8.1% 7.9% 9.4% 9.6% 9.9% 9.5% 8.3% 6.2% 1.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.6% 11.8% 9.7% 11.5% 11.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.1% 7.0% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Allyson Donahue 12.4% 12.3% 12.3% 10.8% 9.9% 11.5% 8.7% 8.2% 6.4% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Conor Fowler 5.9% 5.7% 4.3% 7.2% 7.7% 6.1% 8.6% 10.0% 11.7% 11.5% 9.9% 8.4% 3.0%
Samuel Cushing 7.3% 7.1% 7.5% 6.6% 8.5% 9.5% 7.3% 9.0% 9.8% 11.2% 6.8% 6.9% 2.5%
John Silvestri 4.6% 5.8% 5.6% 7.5% 6.7% 9.0% 7.1% 10.7% 9.8% 11.6% 10.2% 7.6% 3.8%
William Dykes 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 4.9% 4.4% 5.2% 7.9% 13.4% 19.2% 33.2%
Sean Willerford 1.5% 2.4% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 3.3% 4.7% 4.8% 6.8% 9.4% 15.0% 21.5% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.