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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+6.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.88+6.02vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92+2.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20+0.68vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73+1.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07+0.44vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-2.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.40-3.36vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.02vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.32-1.81vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-6.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.52vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.66-2.86vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.68-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Yale University2.7112.2%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University1.885.3%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College1.875.5%1st Place
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9.62University of Pennsylvania1.774.8%1st Place
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8.74Brown University1.925.2%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University2.207.6%1st Place
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9.55Tulane University1.735.6%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College2.075.5%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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7.64Boston College2.408.1%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.1%1st Place
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11.19George Washington University1.323.5%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.046.0%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.0%1st Place
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14.14Jacksonville University0.661.2%1st Place
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13.73Old Dominion University0.681.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Berta Puig | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Emma Snead | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 32.1% |
| Megan Geith | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.