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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.93vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+7.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+5.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+1.75vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.66+9.14vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+3.29vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.88+2.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.35vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.73+0.66vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.02vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-3.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.41vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-4.33vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.07-4.79vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.40-7.46vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.04-7.42vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.68-3.09vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.32-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Georgetown University2.207.7%1st Place
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9.42University of Pennsylvania1.775.1%1st Place
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8.77Brown University1.925.2%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.7112.4%1st Place
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14.14Jacksonville University0.661.5%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College1.876.0%1st Place
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9.14Stanford University1.885.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.3%1st Place
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9.66Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.2%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.387.3%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University1.905.9%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.075.7%1st Place
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7.54Boston College2.408.5%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy2.046.5%1st Place
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13.91Old Dominion University0.681.5%1st Place
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10.89George Washington University1.323.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 30.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Berta Puig | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Megan Geith | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 28.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.