Race 7A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 10.8% 11.1% 12.8% 9.5% 10.4% 11.5% 8.5% 7.2% 7.5% 4.8% 2.9% 2.4% 0.6%
Nathan Allman 11.2% 11.8% 9.5% 11.0% 11.4% 10.7% 9.0% 6.6% 7.4% 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
William Dykes 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 6.2% 9.0% 13.7% 21.0% 30.7%
Charles Lalumiere 15.2% 15.7% 14.0% 12.4% 10.3% 9.7% 6.7% 7.4% 4.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Juan Perdomo 9.1% 8.4% 10.0% 8.4% 10.4% 8.9% 8.9% 10.4% 7.3% 7.8% 6.0% 4.0% 0.4%
Allyson Donahue 13.8% 11.1% 13.5% 11.6% 9.2% 9.8% 8.7% 7.9% 5.6% 4.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Conor Fowler 6.7% 6.7% 6.5% 5.2% 7.1% 8.0% 8.8% 8.7% 11.2% 9.2% 10.7% 8.4% 2.8%
John Silvestri 5.3% 5.6% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 7.1% 9.0% 10.1% 11.0% 10.6% 10.7% 8.5% 4.7%
Samuel Cushing 6.0% 6.4% 7.4% 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 10.6% 8.1% 9.3% 11.2% 8.2% 6.0% 2.3%
Edward Moan 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 5.3% 7.8% 13.9% 20.2% 32.3%
Sean Willerford 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3% 11.0% 14.7% 19.1% 22.2%
Joseph Paggi 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 9.0% 8.3% 7.5% 8.4% 10.9% 11.2% 9.6% 8.3% 5.7% 3.2%
Michael Booker 10.3% 11.9% 9.8% 12.2% 9.8% 9.5% 9.3% 8.9% 7.3% 5.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.