Race 8A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lalumiere 16.4% 15.0% 12.3% 11.7% 11.2% 10.2% 7.9% 5.5% 5.2% 2.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 10.7% 12.0% 9.9% 12.8% 10.1% 10.2% 7.9% 8.8% 7.5% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Samuel Cushing 5.4% 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.6% 9.5% 9.9% 12.0% 10.3% 7.7% 5.1% 2.0%
Allyson Donahue 12.1% 12.2% 12.2% 9.9% 11.0% 10.7% 7.9% 8.0% 7.4% 4.4% 3.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.9% 11.6% 12.0% 10.0% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 8.4% 6.7% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Juan Perdomo 8.5% 9.2% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 10.3% 9.8% 8.3% 9.0% 7.2% 8.1% 2.4% 0.4%
John Silvestri 6.2% 5.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 5.8% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 13.6% 10.4% 9.9% 3.6%
Sean Willerford 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.1% 5.1% 8.1% 9.1% 15.3% 21.4% 22.0%
Michael Booker 11.3% 10.3% 11.5% 10.3% 11.6% 10.0% 7.5% 8.8% 6.7% 5.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Conor Fowler 6.9% 4.7% 5.4% 7.1% 7.4% 7.3% 10.2% 9.1% 8.8% 11.7% 10.1% 7.6% 3.7%
Joseph Paggi 6.2% 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 8.8% 9.3% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 8.8% 6.7% 5.5% 1.8%
William Dykes 1.3% 1.3% 2.5% 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.1% 4.1% 7.6% 14.0% 21.0% 31.8%
Edward Moan 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.6% 5.5% 9.3% 11.9% 21.6% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.