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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+8.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+6.52vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+4.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+3.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.66vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+3.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-1.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.67vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.66+5.20vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-0.85vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.92-3.26vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.88-3.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.20vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.73-5.46vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.32-4.99vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.38-9.91vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.68-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44University of Pennsylvania1.774.5%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University1.906.5%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University2.206.7%1st Place
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7.51Boston College2.408.9%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy2.046.2%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.075.8%1st Place
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5.78Yale University2.7112.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.8%1st Place
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14.2Jacksonville University0.661.2%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College1.875.7%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.3%1st Place
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8.74Brown University1.925.4%1st Place
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9.21Stanford University1.885.9%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.1%1st Place
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9.54Tulane University1.735.8%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University1.324.0%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University2.389.2%1st Place
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13.69Old Dominion University0.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 33.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Berta Puig | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Bridget Green | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.