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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+8.54vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+7.44vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+8.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.88+5.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+0.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+3.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90+0.57vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40-1.66vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-0.57vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-1.49vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-4.39vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.92-4.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.54vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.66-0.83vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-8.85vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.68-3.29vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.7%1st Place
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9.44University of Pennsylvania1.775.3%1st Place
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11.25George Washington University1.322.6%1st Place
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9.51Stanford University1.885.3%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.7112.3%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College1.874.6%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.8%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University1.906.6%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.408.3%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.074.5%1st Place
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9.51Tulane University1.735.5%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University2.207.6%1st Place
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8.61Brown University1.926.7%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Naval Academy2.046.5%1st Place
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14.17Jacksonville University0.661.7%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University2.388.9%1st Place
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13.71Old Dominion University0.681.9%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Berta Puig | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 33.8% |
| Bridget Green | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Geith | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 25.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.