Race 10A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Allyson Donahue 12.6% 11.9% 11.5% 11.5% 10.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 5.9% 5.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.5%
Michael Booker 11.0% 12.1% 9.5% 11.2% 12.6% 9.3% 8.1% 8.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Joseph Paggi 5.1% 7.3% 8.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 8.9% 10.7% 10.2% 10.2% 9.3% 5.3% 1.7%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.8% 9.1% 12.1% 11.9% 9.5% 9.6% 8.8% 8.9% 7.8% 5.5% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4%
Charles Lalumiere 16.5% 16.4% 12.6% 11.2% 11.3% 10.1% 7.1% 5.0% 4.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
John Silvestri 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.4% 9.0% 11.1% 11.6% 10.5% 9.4% 3.7%
Conor Fowler 6.5% 6.5% 7.2% 6.3% 6.0% 7.0% 8.7% 9.7% 10.3% 11.5% 9.6% 8.4% 2.3%
Juan Perdomo 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 9.7% 8.8% 10.4% 11.2% 7.8% 7.9% 5.8% 2.9% 0.8%
Nathan Allman 10.5% 11.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.5% 7.7% 7.5% 5.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Samuel Cushing 7.0% 7.4% 6.4% 7.6% 9.5% 8.6% 9.8% 7.5% 9.4% 9.3% 9.1% 5.4% 3.0%
Sean Willerford 2.0% 1.2% 2.2% 4.0% 2.4% 5.2% 4.6% 5.1% 7.0% 9.4% 15.5% 21.0% 20.4%
Edward Moan 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 4.9% 7.2% 11.8% 22.0% 33.5%
William Dykes 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 6.7% 7.7% 13.5% 20.2% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.