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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.97+4.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+6.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.03+2.63vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+1.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.36vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.00+3.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.14-0.93vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-1.84vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.16-0.13vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.14-1.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.00-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.84-1.91vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.83-2.78vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.23-0.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.20-6.03vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.79-1.14vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.64-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71University of Rhode Island1.9712.4%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College1.514.5%1st Place
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5.63Yale University2.0311.6%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University2.0912.5%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.9%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University1.004.5%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.1410.4%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University1.8511.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College1.164.9%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College1.144.3%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College1.003.9%1st Place
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10.09University of Vermont0.843.4%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.833.5%1st Place
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13.53Maine Maritime Academy-0.230.8%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University1.204.9%1st Place
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14.86Salve Regina University-0.790.7%1st Place
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10.09Boston University0.643.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Grupenhoff | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cody Roe | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Turner Ryon | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| William Hurd | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Toby Clarkson | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 22.8% | 25.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 51.8% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.