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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.13+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.14+0.79vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.62+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.40+1.57vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.49-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.08-3.57vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.81-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.03-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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2.79University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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3.79Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Sainsbury | 27.4% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Antonio Johnson | 26.3% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 15.4% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 27.2% | 12.5% |
| Andrew Nelson | 12.9% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 61.2% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 30.5% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.