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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Fox 30.4% 28.2% 18.6% 12.8% 7.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 5.3% 7.3% 11.0% 15.7% 19.9% 17.1% 14.6% 6.8% 2.3% 0.0%
Matthew Thompson 18.5% 16.5% 20.0% 18.7% 15.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Brendan Boylan 28.5% 26.8% 21.5% 12.2% 7.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.3% 4.0% 6.4% 9.4% 12.8% 17.2% 18.2% 18.5% 10.2% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.3% 4.0% 6.4% 9.4% 12.8% 17.2% 18.2% 18.5% 10.2% 0.0%
Adam Flanders 2.5% 3.1% 4.9% 7.6% 9.6% 18.2% 22.6% 19.6% 11.9% 0.0%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 8.1% 14.6% 26.5% 38.1% 0.0%
Justin Cohler 9.0% 10.8% 13.0% 15.5% 19.5% 17.0% 8.7% 5.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Timothy McElreath 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 4.5% 4.5% 9.9% 17.0% 22.9% 36.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.