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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.85+1.48vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.36+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.25+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.72-1.45vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.56+1.03vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.56+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.44-0.67vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.35-0.49vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.57-4.55vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.26-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Wisconsin2.850.3%1st Place
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4.95Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Minnesota2.250.2%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
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6.03Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.03Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Illinois0.440.0%1st Place
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7.51Hope College-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.45Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.37Michigan Technological University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fox | 30.4% | 28.2% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 18.5% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 28.5% | 26.8% | 21.5% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Flanders | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Laine Klopfenstein | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 26.5% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy McElreath | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 22.9% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.