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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+5.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+6.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.19vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+2.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71-0.40vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87+1.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68+5.51vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.88-0.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.37+4.18vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-1.73vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.40-4.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-3.54vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.92-5.59vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.90-6.52vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-6.27vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.66-3.41vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.32-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Cornell University2.388.9%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College2.076.1%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Pennsylvania1.775.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.206.9%1st Place
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5.6Yale University2.7112.8%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College1.875.3%1st Place
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13.51Old Dominion University0.681.5%1st Place
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8.88Stanford University1.886.0%1st Place
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14.18U. S. Naval Academy0.371.3%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University1.735.4%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.409.8%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.2%1st Place
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8.41Brown University1.927.3%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University1.905.7%1st Place
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9.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
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13.59Jacksonville University0.661.8%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University1.324.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Megan Geith | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 21.4% |
| Berta Puig | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 29.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 23.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.