Race 11A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.2% 11.9% 12.0% 9.3% 11.5% 11.3% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Juan Perdomo 8.4% 8.3% 10.8% 7.8% 11.4% 9.7% 10.0% 8.7% 10.4% 7.2% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Michael Booker 10.7% 12.2% 11.4% 11.3% 11.7% 9.9% 9.7% 8.3% 6.6% 4.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Joseph Paggi 6.8% 6.0% 7.5% 10.5% 8.0% 7.6% 9.3% 11.9% 10.3% 8.7% 8.6% 3.6% 1.2%
Nathan Allman 12.7% 12.2% 10.8% 11.4% 8.9% 10.7% 11.9% 7.0% 5.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Charles Lalumiere 17.5% 16.1% 15.0% 12.2% 10.3% 8.4% 7.4% 5.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Allyson Donahue 13.5% 13.3% 11.0% 12.2% 10.7% 11.1% 7.2% 8.6% 6.4% 3.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Samuel Cushing 6.9% 7.0% 7.0% 9.2% 8.7% 8.8% 9.4% 11.2% 11.5% 10.0% 6.1% 3.5% 0.7%
Samuel Campbell 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 3.2% 2.7% 3.2% 5.2% 6.3% 9.2% 15.5% 20.1% 26.2%
John Silvestri 5.1% 5.6% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 8.4% 9.4% 9.3% 11.6% 10.9% 9.3% 7.2% 3.3%
Edward Moan 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 4.2% 6.0% 6.8% 11.7% 15.3% 19.5% 22.1%
Sean Willerford 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 5.4% 4.7% 6.9% 12.3% 15.5% 19.3% 19.9%
William Dykes 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 3.5% 5.4% 7.8% 10.4% 14.3% 21.0% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.