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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+8.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.97vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+7.36vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+2.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+3.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+7.43vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07+1.87vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-0.74vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.88-0.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-2.02vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.71-5.62vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-2.97vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.40-6.05vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.66-0.34vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.87-6.39vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.73-7.08vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.68-3.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.37-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06University of Pennsylvania1.775.2%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.1%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University1.324.3%1st Place
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6.65Cornell University2.3810.2%1st Place
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8.04Brown University1.926.7%1st Place
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13.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.6%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.075.2%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University2.208.5%1st Place
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8.82Stanford University1.885.8%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University1.907.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University2.7113.0%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.8%1st Place
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6.95Boston College2.409.4%1st Place
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13.66Jacksonville University0.661.1%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College1.875.9%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University1.734.8%1st Place
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13.07Old Dominion University0.681.8%1st Place
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13.96U. S. Naval Academy0.371.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Emma Snead | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Bridget Green | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Lily Flack | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 18.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Berta Puig | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 20.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Megan Geith | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 16.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.