Race 12A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Juan Perdomo 8.8% 8.9% 9.8% 9.6% 8.0% 10.0% 11.8% 10.2% 8.1% 7.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.7%
Charles Lalumiere 16.2% 16.8% 13.0% 12.3% 11.4% 10.0% 7.5% 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
John Silvestri 4.4% 4.5% 6.6% 6.4% 7.3% 9.0% 9.6% 7.9% 11.6% 13.0% 10.9% 6.0% 2.8%
Joseph Paggi 6.2% 6.2% 8.5% 7.8% 9.9% 8.1% 9.7% 10.5% 10.7% 10.2% 7.7% 3.9% 0.6%
Michael Booker 12.9% 13.3% 10.0% 11.8% 10.8% 8.4% 9.8% 8.3% 6.7% 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.1% 11.6% 12.4% 10.9% 11.5% 10.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.0% 3.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Samuel Cushing 8.5% 6.0% 8.9% 7.2% 7.4% 9.5% 9.3% 10.2% 12.6% 10.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.1%
Allyson Donahue 12.9% 13.6% 10.5% 12.2% 10.5% 12.0% 8.4% 9.0% 5.6% 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Sean Willerford 1.7% 3.1% 2.5% 2.8% 3.7% 3.3% 4.6% 5.3% 7.1% 11.6% 16.4% 17.6% 20.3%
Nathan Allman 12.3% 11.3% 12.1% 11.7% 10.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.2% 5.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.7% 0.3%
William Dykes 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 3.3% 3.8% 5.6% 4.9% 6.8% 11.1% 15.9% 20.0% 21.0%
Edward Moan 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 5.2% 6.2% 9.5% 13.9% 21.7% 26.5%
Samuel Campbell 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 6.0% 6.9% 10.9% 13.5% 21.3% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.