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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.44vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+6.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+5.05vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.98vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.88+3.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.37+6.86vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-1.50vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-1.70vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.32+0.49vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.90-2.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.89vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.73-3.95vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.40-6.93vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.66-1.59vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-2.66vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.68-3.69vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.07-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University2.7113.2%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College1.876.0%1st Place
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8.05Brown University1.926.3%1st Place
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8.98University of Pennsylvania1.775.4%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University1.886.9%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.6%1st Place
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13.86U. S. Naval Academy0.371.1%1st Place
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6.5Cornell University2.3811.2%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University2.207.0%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University1.323.0%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University1.906.6%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.9%1st Place
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9.05Tulane University1.735.6%1st Place
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7.07Boston College2.408.2%1st Place
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13.41Jacksonville University0.662.1%1st Place
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13.34St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.7%1st Place
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13.31Old Dominion University0.681.3%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.075.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Berta Puig | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 24.1% |
| Bridget Green | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Emma Snead | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 21.4% |
| Lily Flack | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 18.9% |
| Megan Geith | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.