Race 13A

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lalumiere 17.6% 14.7% 14.7% 10.9% 10.4% 10.9% 7.7% 5.6% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Nathan Allman 12.5% 11.0% 11.0% 10.9% 12.1% 8.8% 10.2% 8.0% 7.2% 4.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Samuel Cushing 6.0% 6.4% 8.4% 8.8% 8.2% 10.5% 9.1% 9.2% 11.3% 9.8% 7.4% 3.9% 1.0%
Juan Perdomo 7.6% 10.4% 8.7% 9.6% 9.4% 9.7% 9.6% 9.6% 10.1% 7.3% 5.6% 2.0% 0.4%
John Silvestri 5.9% 5.3% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 7.4% 7.3% 11.5% 9.6% 13.6% 9.7% 6.9% 1.8%
Allyson Donahue 13.6% 12.2% 12.0% 13.4% 11.0% 8.7% 8.0% 7.7% 6.8% 3.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Joseph Paggi 8.1% 7.7% 7.8% 7.1% 7.1% 10.0% 9.9% 10.3% 10.5% 10.3% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 12.3% 10.8% 11.7% 11.4% 11.5% 10.1% 10.8% 8.7% 5.3% 3.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Samuel Campbell 1.5% 2.5% 1.8% 2.6% 2.3% 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 5.9% 10.2% 14.0% 21.2% 26.2%
William Dykes 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 8.0% 9.8% 15.4% 19.0% 25.0%
Edward Moan 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 5.8% 5.5% 6.6% 11.3% 14.4% 19.1% 23.3%
Sean Willerford 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 4.8% 5.5% 8.8% 9.8% 15.3% 20.2% 19.9%
Michael Booker 10.3% 12.8% 10.8% 10.5% 11.5% 9.9% 9.3% 9.8% 6.7% 4.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.