← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.38+5.79vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.92+6.57vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.07+6.25vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.73+5.37vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.71+0.58vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University0.68+7.56vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University1.88+2.03vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University1.90+0.45vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.40-1.64vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University0.66+3.82vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.87-2.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.77-2.54vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.04-4.63vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.19vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.20-7.54vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-6.70vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.84vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.32-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.79Cornell University2.389.3%1st Place
-
8.57Brown University1.926.3%1st Place
-
9.25Bowdoin College2.075.3%1st Place
-
9.37Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
-
5.58Yale University2.7112.8%1st Place
-
13.56Old Dominion University0.681.7%1st Place
-
9.03Stanford University1.885.5%1st Place
-
8.45Harvard University1.905.1%1st Place
-
7.36Boston College2.408.1%1st Place
-
13.82Jacksonville University0.661.3%1st Place
-
8.95Dartmouth College1.875.0%1st Place
-
9.46University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
-
8.37U. S. Naval Academy2.046.9%1st Place
-
13.81St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.8%1st Place
-
7.46Georgetown University2.207.2%1st Place
-
9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.3%1st Place
-
11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.6%1st Place
-
10.71George Washington University1.324.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 21.8% |
| Berta Puig | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 25.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Lily Flack | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 25.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.