Race 1B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Steven Pelissier 7.7% 6.5% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.0% 8.6% 11.2% 9.5% 10.2% 7.8% 3.8% 0.7%
David Larson 14.6% 14.5% 12.9% 12.4% 11.4% 10.2% 7.9% 6.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3%
Robert Lippincott 5.6% 8.1% 8.3% 8.1% 9.0% 8.7% 9.8% 10.0% 10.6% 8.9% 8.4% 3.9% 0.6%
Conor Lodge 9.0% 9.7% 10.5% 11.2% 10.1% 8.7% 10.6% 8.8% 9.0% 6.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Caitlin Watson 8.1% 7.8% 7.9% 8.6% 9.4% 7.4% 9.3% 10.9% 9.2% 8.8% 7.7% 4.1% 0.8%
John Cappetta 3.9% 3.4% 3.9% 5.4% 4.2% 6.6% 8.1% 7.5% 10.6% 12.5% 15.2% 14.1% 4.6%
Alexander Strothe 3.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% 4.9% 5.4% 4.4% 6.2% 8.5% 12.0% 16.5% 19.8% 8.9%
Hunter Johnstone 16.9% 17.1% 14.1% 10.4% 11.8% 10.8% 7.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian White 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 6.1% 7.4% 9.1% 8.9% 10.9% 9.9% 10.2% 9.3% 6.6% 2.0%
Ryan Schmitz 10.2% 10.7% 8.9% 12.0% 8.4% 9.8% 8.5% 8.3% 8.9% 7.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Jackson Chabot 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 3.8% 4.8% 6.5% 11.3% 13.7% 26.7% 17.7%
James Barry 11.9% 11.0% 11.9% 9.9% 10.5% 9.6% 11.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Brendan Sleight 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 3.6% 7.1% 16.1% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.