Race 2B

greater-boston-oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
David Larson 16.1% 12.3% 13.6% 12.0% 10.2% 12.3% 7.5% 5.6% 5.0% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.2% 8.3% 8.6% 8.4% 8.4% 8.9% 11.2% 9.1% 9.9% 9.5% 6.9% 3.3% 1.3%
Conor Lodge 9.6% 9.8% 10.6% 9.3% 10.1% 9.7% 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 7.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.2%
Hunter Johnstone 16.9% 16.4% 14.2% 12.7% 9.8% 9.4% 6.8% 6.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
John Cappetta 4.3% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.8% 9.1% 8.7% 13.8% 14.6% 13.7% 5.8%
Ian White 6.1% 6.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.1% 9.4% 9.0% 9.5% 9.5% 11.1% 9.1% 5.6% 1.7%
Alexander Strothe 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 9.8% 11.6% 15.6% 19.7% 8.8%
James Barry 12.4% 11.7% 11.6% 9.9% 11.3% 12.2% 8.9% 8.5% 6.3% 3.5% 3.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Caitlin Watson 7.2% 7.7% 7.6% 8.5% 7.8% 7.1% 11.3% 10.1% 10.3% 8.5% 8.0% 4.8% 1.1%
Ryan Schmitz 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 10.3% 11.4% 7.4% 9.3% 8.9% 6.9% 7.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Brendan Sleight 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 5.0% 8.1% 15.7% 59.1%
Jackson Chabot 1.1% 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 3.7% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 6.7% 7.9% 15.6% 27.8% 20.3%
Steven Pelissier 5.9% 7.6% 7.4% 9.7% 7.6% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 11.3% 9.1% 7.2% 4.3% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.