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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+8.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+5.26vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.66+10.82vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.68+9.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+3.57vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+2.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.71-1.39vs Predicted
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8Stanford University1.88+0.97vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+4.74vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-1.11vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.85vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-4.41vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-6.16vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.32-2.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.71vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.81vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.73-7.64vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.04-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Dartmouth College1.875.2%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.408.6%1st Place
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13.82Jacksonville University0.661.3%1st Place
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13.62Old Dominion University0.681.5%1st Place
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8.57Brown University1.925.8%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University1.905.5%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.7113.0%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University1.885.6%1st Place
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13.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.611.8%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.075.2%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.9%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.206.6%1st Place
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6.84Cornell University2.389.3%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University1.324.2%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.2%1st Place
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9.19University of Pennsylvania1.775.1%1st Place
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9.36Tulane University1.735.2%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy2.047.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 26.2% |
| Megan Geith | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 21.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Berta Puig | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Lily Flack | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 24.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Green | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Emma Snead | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.