Race 3B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
David Larson 15.5% 13.4% 13.8% 12.6% 10.9% 9.8% 8.2% 6.0% 5.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Hunter Johnstone 16.1% 16.6% 15.1% 12.0% 10.5% 9.0% 8.1% 5.5% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
Robert Lippincott 5.4% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 9.5% 8.0% 10.1% 10.0% 10.5% 9.2% 7.3% 4.3% 0.9%
Conor Lodge 9.5% 9.9% 9.7% 11.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.9% 7.7% 8.0% 7.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Caitlin Watson 7.9% 7.7% 8.3% 8.4% 9.2% 8.4% 8.2% 10.8% 10.0% 8.8% 7.6% 3.6% 1.1%
John Cappetta 4.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 7.2% 6.8% 7.0% 10.0% 14.0% 14.2% 15.0% 4.9%
Jackson Chabot 2.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.8% 3.9% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 5.8% 7.8% 15.2% 28.1% 17.9%
Ian White 6.4% 7.4% 5.7% 7.5% 7.2% 7.1% 10.2% 10.4% 12.0% 11.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.3%
Steven Pelissier 7.1% 7.8% 7.1% 8.8% 8.1% 9.8% 9.9% 10.1% 8.1% 9.8% 8.6% 3.5% 1.3%
Ryan Schmitz 10.6% 9.5% 10.7% 9.8% 10.5% 9.2% 7.4% 9.6% 8.4% 6.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7%
Alexander Strothe 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 5.0% 6.3% 5.1% 6.7% 10.5% 11.3% 18.1% 16.7% 8.6%
James Barry 11.2% 11.6% 11.8% 9.9% 10.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.4% 6.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Brendan Sleight 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 0.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 4.4% 6.0% 17.2% 62.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.