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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+7.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+7.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.50vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.88+5.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+4.40vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+3.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58+3.32vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.32+3.03vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-1.20vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.71-4.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.56vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.66+1.97vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.13vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.90-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.67vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-3.15vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.38-10.18vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.07-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Brown University1.926.7%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College1.875.8%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
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9.14Stanford University1.885.3%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.2%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University1.734.2%1st Place
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10.32Boston College1.584.2%1st Place
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11.03George Washington University1.323.0%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University2.207.4%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.7113.2%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy2.046.7%1st Place
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13.97Jacksonville University0.661.6%1st Place
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9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania1.775.7%1st Place
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12.85Old Dominion University0.951.7%1st Place
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6.82Cornell University2.3810.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.075.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Berta Puig | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 32.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 18.2% |
| Bridget Green | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.