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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+7.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.73vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+5.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+5.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+7.63vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.51vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.88+2.31vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.32+2.96vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.73+0.52vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.32vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.67vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.58-2.76vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-6.25vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-8.03vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.66-2.09vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-7.06vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.07-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Brown University1.926.5%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.7112.3%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University1.907.2%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.7%1st Place
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12.63Old Dominion University0.952.7%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania1.775.4%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University1.885.1%1st Place
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10.96George Washington University1.324.2%1st Place
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9.52Tulane University1.735.4%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College1.875.3%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.602.9%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.046.3%1st Place
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10.24Boston College1.584.2%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University2.207.2%1st Place
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6.97Cornell University2.388.6%1st Place
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13.91Jacksonville University0.661.6%1st Place
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.075.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 18.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Berta Puig | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 31.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.