Race 4B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hunter Johnstone 17.8% 14.0% 16.0% 11.4% 11.1% 7.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 9.1% 9.6% 9.6% 10.4% 10.4% 11.6% 9.1% 8.5% 8.1% 6.5% 3.7% 3.0% 0.4%
David Larson 13.4% 16.8% 12.6% 11.8% 10.6% 10.1% 8.1% 6.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Caitlin Watson 6.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 9.6% 9.0% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 3.8% 0.6%
Conor Lodge 10.6% 10.7% 10.7% 9.8% 9.7% 10.0% 9.1% 8.7% 9.4% 4.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1%
John Cappetta 3.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.6% 5.5% 6.0% 6.7% 8.2% 10.9% 12.0% 14.6% 14.8% 5.1%
Alexander Strothe 3.6% 3.3% 2.8% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 6.2% 5.1% 7.6% 13.2% 16.8% 20.1% 8.7%
James Barry 12.4% 11.9% 9.9% 12.5% 10.1% 10.4% 10.7% 7.7% 6.3% 4.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.2% 9.5% 9.1% 10.2% 8.5% 10.6% 7.7% 4.2% 1.2%
Jackson Chabot 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 5.4% 6.2% 10.9% 14.7% 25.3% 19.9%
Ian White 5.6% 6.1% 8.3% 7.6% 8.2% 8.7% 9.5% 9.8% 11.5% 9.9% 8.9% 5.0% 0.9%
Steven Pelissier 7.0% 7.4% 6.9% 8.9% 8.6% 8.5% 7.8% 11.0% 11.9% 9.1% 8.5% 3.8% 0.6%
Brendan Sleight 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 4.3% 6.3% 16.6% 62.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.