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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+6.99vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+6.97vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+3.58vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+3.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+2.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71-0.68vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.78+4.23vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87+0.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.00vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.66+3.76vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.32-0.54vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.88-3.29vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.98vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.37-0.97vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.58-6.45vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.77-8.18vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.95-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Brown University1.926.0%1st Place
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8.97Tulane University1.735.9%1st Place
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6.58Cornell University2.389.2%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University2.208.4%1st Place
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5.32Yale University2.7114.9%1st Place
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11.23Bowdoin College0.783.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College1.875.8%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.2%1st Place
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13.76Jacksonville University0.661.6%1st Place
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10.46George Washington University1.323.7%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University1.885.5%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.6%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.2%1st Place
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14.03U. S. Naval Academy0.371.6%1st Place
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9.55Boston College1.585.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Pennsylvania1.776.2%1st Place
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12.4Old Dominion University0.952.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 26.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Berta Puig | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Emma Snead | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 28.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.