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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.88+7.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+6.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.81vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+7.21vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+1.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.37+7.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-0.07vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.58+0.93vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.16vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.32-0.40vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-5.30vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-4.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.16vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.73-5.98vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-6.54vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.66-3.42vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College0.78-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Stanford University1.886.4%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College1.875.7%1st Place
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5.3Yale University2.7114.9%1st Place
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8.81University of Pennsylvania1.776.0%1st Place
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12.21Old Dominion University0.952.6%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University2.208.5%1st Place
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14.06U. S. Naval Academy0.371.4%1st Place
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7.93Brown University1.926.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston College1.584.2%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.8%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University1.323.5%1st Place
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6.7Cornell University2.389.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University1.907.2%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.2%1st Place
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9.02Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.1%1st Place
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13.58Jacksonville University0.662.2%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College0.783.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berta Puig | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 28.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Bridget Green | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Snead | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 24.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.