Race 6B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Conor Lodge 9.2% 9.7% 10.4% 10.6% 10.0% 9.5% 9.8% 9.5% 8.4% 6.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6%
David Larson 14.8% 13.9% 13.9% 12.8% 11.2% 8.6% 8.3% 6.8% 4.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
John Cappetta 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 5.2% 5.1% 6.7% 6.7% 8.0% 10.7% 13.4% 15.7% 14.6% 5.0%
Hunter Johnstone 16.9% 15.8% 14.2% 12.5% 9.0% 11.7% 6.6% 5.8% 3.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 10.3% 9.6% 10.9% 10.2% 9.4% 9.4% 10.0% 9.3% 6.5% 8.2% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Steven Pelissier 7.3% 7.5% 7.8% 9.3% 9.4% 8.2% 10.5% 10.0% 8.9% 8.9% 8.0% 3.4% 0.8%
Caitlin Watson 8.7% 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 7.7% 9.6% 10.2% 9.5% 10.0% 9.2% 8.1% 3.0% 0.9%
Ian White 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.4% 8.0% 9.0% 10.3% 9.9% 11.6% 10.4% 8.8% 5.5% 1.1%
Robert Lippincott 7.2% 5.9% 8.7% 7.6% 9.7% 8.6% 10.0% 10.7% 10.2% 7.9% 8.5% 4.0% 1.0%
Jackson Chabot 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 4.0% 7.5% 11.2% 13.0% 26.8% 19.5%
James Barry 12.3% 13.7% 11.6% 11.3% 11.0% 10.5% 8.1% 8.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Alexander Strothe 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 2.9% 6.3% 3.3% 5.3% 5.4% 10.1% 10.6% 17.4% 20.5% 10.0%
Brendan Sleight 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 0.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 7.9% 17.2% 60.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.