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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+9.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+5.59vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+4.39vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.66+8.94vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.31vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38-0.09vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.32+2.78vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-0.94vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.88-1.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.60vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.71-6.48vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.87-4.01vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.67vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.73-5.84vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.78-4.43vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.56vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.95-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15Boston College1.585.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.209.0%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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8.39Brown University1.926.2%1st Place
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13.94Jacksonville University0.661.6%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania1.775.5%1st Place
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6.91Cornell University2.389.3%1st Place
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10.78George Washington University1.323.6%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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8.9Stanford University1.885.0%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy2.046.6%1st Place
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5.52Yale University2.7113.0%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College1.874.5%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.4%1st Place
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9.16Tulane University1.735.6%1st Place
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11.57Bowdoin College0.782.9%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.4%1st Place
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12.8Old Dominion University0.951.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 31.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Berta Puig | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
| Emma Snead | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.