← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.54+5.47vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.55+4.45vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.82+2.71vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.03+1.14vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College1.55+3.96vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.53+0.42vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.39-2.80vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.35-1.06vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.84-3.26vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.48vs Predicted
-
11Bates College1.80-2.67vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.12-1.73vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.16-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.47Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.45University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.71Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.14Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.96Middlebury College1.550.0%1st Place
-
6.42Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
4.2Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
-
6.94University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
-
5.74Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
4.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.2%1st Place
-
8.33Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
-
10.27Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
-
11.85University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| James Barry | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Strothe | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 7.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 17.1% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian White | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 16.7% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Cappetta | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Jackson Chabot | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 28.4% | 20.5% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 17.7% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.