Race 8A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Fox 32.9% 25.4% 18.3% 13.0% 7.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Thompson 13.5% 19.3% 20.9% 17.3% 15.9% 8.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 6.5% 7.3% 11.8% 16.0% 19.1% 18.5% 13.2% 5.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Brendan Boylan 29.5% 25.0% 20.4% 13.5% 7.0% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Justin Cohler 8.6% 12.8% 15.2% 16.4% 16.6% 15.3% 9.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 8.6% 13.0% 17.6% 22.9% 15.7% 10.4% 0.0%
Adam Flanders 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 6.6% 11.1% 17.8% 21.7% 20.5% 11.9% 0.0%
Steven Catlin 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 8.6% 13.0% 17.6% 22.9% 15.7% 10.4% 0.0%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 4.6% 4.7% 7.8% 13.3% 26.1% 38.7% 0.0%
Timothy McElreath 1.7% 1.1% 2.8% 4.0% 5.3% 8.6% 15.1% 25.7% 35.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.