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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+2.39vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.79vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+0.87vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.47+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.69+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.71-0.72vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.56vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.99-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.86-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.42-0.78vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.86+1.91vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.91+0.55vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.59-1.43vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-3.68vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.09-2.16vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.41-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Stanford University2.7224.2%1st Place
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5.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.7%1st Place
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3.87University of Hawaii2.4119.5%1st Place
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6.76San Diego State University1.476.7%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Cruz1.699.8%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.7%1st Place
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6.28University of Southern California1.716.1%1st Place
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8.56California State University Channel Islands0.824.0%1st Place
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8.12Arizona State University0.994.5%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Berkeley0.863.1%1st Place
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10.22University of California at San Diego0.422.1%1st Place
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13.91San Diego State University-0.860.4%1st Place
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13.55San Diego State University-0.910.4%1st Place
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12.57Santa Clara University-0.590.9%1st Place
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11.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.2%1st Place
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13.84Arizona State University-1.090.4%1st Place
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14.68Arizona State University-1.410.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 24.2% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.5% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Juan Casal | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 19.8% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 20.4% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.