Race 8B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Steven Pelissier 7.8% 7.1% 7.0% 9.3% 10.2% 7.4% 10.1% 10.5% 9.4% 9.1% 7.2% 4.3% 0.6%
Robert Lippincott 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 7.8% 9.0% 10.3% 8.9% 8.9% 10.7% 10.4% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0%
James Barry 11.2% 11.4% 12.3% 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 9.5% 9.6% 5.8% 5.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2%
David Larson 14.8% 15.4% 11.9% 12.6% 11.9% 9.2% 7.4% 6.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Ian White 7.0% 6.4% 6.2% 9.7% 7.1% 7.5% 8.4% 10.6% 10.0% 10.0% 10.1% 5.8% 1.2%
Hunter Johnstone 17.0% 16.8% 14.9% 11.9% 9.8% 9.7% 5.5% 6.2% 4.1% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Caitlin Watson 8.8% 6.8% 9.4% 7.0% 7.5% 8.5% 11.2% 9.7% 10.0% 9.4% 7.1% 3.9% 0.7%
Conor Lodge 9.5% 10.8% 10.3% 9.1% 9.3% 10.8% 10.8% 8.0% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Ryan Schmitz 8.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.5% 11.0% 11.0% 9.8% 8.7% 6.9% 7.9% 5.0% 1.6% 0.5%
John Cappetta 4.0% 3.7% 3.5% 4.8% 5.6% 5.1% 7.0% 8.4% 9.9% 12.9% 14.5% 14.4% 6.2%
Alexander Strothe 2.5% 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 5.0% 6.9% 10.9% 11.5% 16.6% 17.9% 8.3%
Jackson Chabot 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.1% 4.7% 3.8% 6.2% 7.6% 16.4% 27.7% 20.1%
Brendan Sleight 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 4.0% 6.9% 18.2% 60.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.