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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.55vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.88+6.76vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+3.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.58+6.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+4.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92+1.21vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73+1.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.79+0.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.72vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-4.56vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-0.39vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.87-5.09vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.32-4.01vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.78-4.45vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.66-3.05vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Yale University2.7112.0%1st Place
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8.76Stanford University1.886.1%1st Place
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6.82Cornell University2.389.8%1st Place
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10.1Boston College1.583.6%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.9%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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8.21Brown University1.926.4%1st Place
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9.34Tulane University1.735.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University1.795.9%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.5%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy2.047.6%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University2.208.0%1st Place
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12.61Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College1.875.2%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University1.323.3%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College0.783.2%1st Place
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13.95Jacksonville University0.661.9%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania1.775.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Emma Snead | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 18.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 30.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.