Race 9B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Steven Pelissier 6.6% 7.3% 8.8% 8.7% 9.7% 8.2% 9.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.3% 7.1% 3.8% 1.0%
Conor Lodge 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 11.2% 10.7% 9.6% 9.2% 9.7% 7.9% 6.9% 4.1% 2.0% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.7% 7.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.9% 8.2% 9.8% 9.1% 10.3% 10.4% 7.7% 3.4% 1.0%
Ryan Schmitz 9.3% 10.7% 9.0% 11.0% 9.9% 9.4% 8.9% 9.1% 9.2% 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.5%
Alexander Strothe 3.3% 3.4% 2.9% 4.0% 3.5% 5.2% 6.2% 5.9% 7.9% 12.0% 15.5% 19.9% 10.3%
Jackson Chabot 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 1.8% 4.0% 6.2% 6.3% 10.3% 13.4% 27.5% 18.5%
James Barry 13.9% 9.6% 12.3% 11.0% 10.9% 9.6% 10.1% 6.5% 7.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Brendan Sleight 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 6.8% 17.4% 59.7%
David Larson 14.5% 14.9% 14.4% 10.9% 9.8% 11.5% 6.8% 6.9% 5.3% 2.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
John Cappetta 4.6% 3.6% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 6.0% 6.8% 9.1% 10.3% 9.8% 16.7% 14.1% 6.6%
Ian White 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 6.6% 8.4% 9.5% 9.5% 11.0% 8.3% 10.7% 9.3% 4.6% 1.5%
Hunter Johnstone 16.8% 15.2% 14.5% 11.6% 10.8% 10.8% 6.5% 5.2% 4.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Caitlin Watson 6.4% 7.7% 7.3% 8.3% 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 9.6% 10.1% 9.7% 8.7% 4.3% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.