Race 10B

greater-boston-oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robert Lippincott 6.6% 6.3% 9.3% 9.9% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 11.5% 10.9% 8.6% 7.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Steven Pelissier 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 9.4% 8.5% 10.9% 9.2% 9.6% 10.1% 9.7% 7.3% 3.2% 0.9%
Ian White 4.7% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 7.2% 7.8% 9.3% 10.6% 12.5% 9.7% 9.9% 5.5% 1.3%
Hunter Johnstone 17.1% 16.1% 14.3% 11.0% 12.1% 8.7% 7.5% 6.1% 2.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2%
David Larson 15.5% 15.1% 14.2% 11.2% 11.3% 8.7% 7.4% 7.2% 3.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 10.6% 10.4% 8.8% 11.2% 7.9% 7.5% 6.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3%
Ryan Schmitz 11.8% 9.3% 8.9% 9.1% 9.0% 11.6% 10.9% 7.5% 8.2% 6.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
John Cappetta 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.6% 4.2% 6.4% 6.8% 8.0% 11.1% 12.1% 16.0% 15.0% 4.0%
Caitlin Watson 7.4% 6.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 10.7% 10.2% 8.7% 11.0% 7.3% 4.2% 1.1%
Jackson Chabot 1.3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.1% 2.6% 3.1% 5.2% 6.9% 11.0% 13.9% 25.8% 19.4%
James Barry 11.8% 13.5% 11.0% 11.4% 11.9% 11.3% 8.8% 7.5% 5.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Alexander Strothe 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 6.1% 9.7% 11.0% 17.2% 20.4% 9.7%
Brendan Sleight 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 0.8% 2.6% 2.1% 4.0% 6.9% 16.9% 61.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.