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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.88+7.80vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+6.93vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+3.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+1.44vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+4.19vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.66+7.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92+1.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+2.39vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.32+1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.73vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.46vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.20-5.48vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-1.40vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.78-3.46vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.04-7.89vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.79-7.78vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Stanford University1.884.8%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College1.875.1%1st Place
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6.79Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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5.44Yale University2.7113.7%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University1.735.9%1st Place
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13.79Jacksonville University0.662.1%1st Place
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8.37Brown University1.926.2%1st Place
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10.39Boston College1.584.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University1.323.9%1st Place
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9.27University of Pennsylvania1.775.9%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.5%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University2.208.3%1st Place
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12.6Old Dominion University0.952.5%1st Place
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11.54Bowdoin College0.783.2%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy2.047.0%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University1.794.9%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.603.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berta Puig | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 31.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 17.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Emma Snead | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.