Race 11B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caitlin Watson 6.8% 7.3% 7.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.6% 8.0% 9.3% 11.9% 8.2% 8.7% 5.3% 0.8%
James Barry 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 11.5% 10.8% 10.6% 8.8% 6.9% 7.1% 5.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Steven Pelissier 5.1% 8.2% 8.8% 7.6% 7.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 9.1% 8.4% 5.3% 0.8%
John Cappetta 2.9% 3.0% 3.6% 4.7% 5.5% 5.6% 6.1% 7.6% 9.4% 11.9% 15.2% 18.3% 6.2%
David Larson 15.7% 14.2% 13.5% 11.5% 10.0% 9.4% 7.5% 7.2% 4.5% 3.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Ryan Schmitz 10.3% 9.6% 8.9% 10.0% 9.1% 10.8% 9.0% 9.7% 7.7% 6.2% 4.8% 3.5% 0.4%
Hunter Johnstone 17.1% 16.5% 14.0% 11.6% 9.8% 9.4% 7.5% 5.6% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 9.9% 9.9% 10.2% 8.9% 10.2% 9.9% 10.3% 8.6% 7.9% 6.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.5%
Robert Lippincott 7.4% 6.8% 6.6% 8.1% 8.6% 9.1% 8.8% 10.2% 9.6% 8.9% 7.5% 6.5% 1.9%
Alexander Strothe 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 3.8% 6.0% 7.1% 7.7% 11.7% 12.8% 23.1% 12.5%
Ian White 5.9% 5.6% 8.6% 6.7% 7.9% 9.3% 9.2% 8.0% 10.8% 10.0% 9.3% 6.8% 1.9%
Joseph Benoit 3.8% 3.8% 4.1% 5.5% 7.4% 4.5% 7.7% 7.8% 7.5% 12.1% 16.1% 14.1% 5.6%
Brendan Sleight 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 3.9% 5.3% 12.1% 68.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.