Race 12B

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caitlin Watson 6.6% 7.7% 7.6% 7.7% 9.1% 8.1% 8.9% 10.7% 8.0% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 1.2%
Ian White 5.5% 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 9.6% 8.9% 10.9% 9.6% 10.6% 7.6% 2.4%
Hunter Johnstone 16.6% 16.2% 11.7% 13.8% 10.5% 9.4% 7.4% 5.3% 4.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Ryan Schmitz 9.4% 8.5% 10.7% 10.4% 8.6% 10.0% 10.0% 8.2% 8.9% 6.6% 5.3% 3.0% 0.4%
Joseph Benoit 4.6% 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 6.9% 5.9% 6.7% 9.5% 8.9% 11.3% 13.0% 13.4% 4.5%
David Larson 14.2% 15.5% 14.4% 10.2% 11.1% 9.2% 7.2% 7.0% 4.8% 3.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 10.5% 9.5% 10.4% 8.7% 9.1% 10.6% 9.5% 8.1% 8.5% 6.8% 5.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Robert Lippincott 6.5% 8.5% 7.1% 7.9% 7.7% 10.2% 9.4% 9.3% 10.2% 9.5% 7.5% 5.5% 0.7%
Steven Pelissier 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 8.8% 7.6% 8.0% 10.8% 9.8% 8.4% 9.3% 8.9% 5.8% 1.5%
James Barry 12.5% 10.5% 11.5% 11.6% 11.2% 8.5% 8.1% 8.6% 6.5% 5.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.6%
John Cappetta 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 10.6% 10.8% 14.7% 16.5% 6.7%
Alexander Strothe 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 5.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.4% 7.3% 11.4% 13.4% 25.3% 12.5%
Brendan Sleight 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 5.7% 12.3% 68.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.