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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robert Lippincott 7.3% 5.8% 8.4% 9.0% 8.3% 7.7% 9.3% 9.8% 9.2% 9.9% 8.4% 5.3% 1.6%
Conor Lodge 10.2% 8.6% 9.1% 9.5% 11.0% 10.0% 9.5% 8.9% 9.0% 5.2% 5.6% 2.9% 0.5%
Steven Pelissier 6.0% 8.0% 7.6% 7.8% 9.7% 8.1% 7.7% 9.9% 11.2% 9.2% 7.2% 6.2% 1.4%
Ryan Schmitz 9.6% 8.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.1% 9.9% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.4%
James Barry 12.1% 11.7% 11.6% 11.1% 8.3% 11.8% 9.2% 6.9% 7.2% 4.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
John Cappetta 3.5% 4.2% 3.7% 5.0% 4.7% 5.7% 5.5% 9.4% 8.2% 9.6% 15.8% 17.5% 7.2%
Joseph Benoit 4.8% 4.6% 5.8% 4.5% 6.4% 5.8% 7.8% 6.9% 8.8% 12.2% 13.2% 14.6% 4.6%
Ian White 5.7% 7.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.5% 7.7% 11.0% 9.0% 10.7% 8.9% 9.5% 8.0% 2.5%
David Larson 14.4% 13.6% 13.1% 13.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.5% 6.2% 4.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Alexander Strothe 3.0% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 5.5% 6.7% 6.7% 11.9% 13.6% 23.3% 11.9%
Hunter Johnstone 17.6% 16.8% 14.0% 12.4% 10.1% 9.7% 7.2% 5.4% 2.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Brendan Sleight 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 3.8% 5.8% 12.6% 67.9%
Caitlin Watson 5.5% 7.5% 7.7% 6.3% 9.3% 9.6% 8.3% 10.1% 9.8% 10.9% 8.7% 4.7% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.