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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.85+3.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.49+4.00vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+2.10vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.29+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51-1.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.72+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23-0.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16-1.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82-1.06vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.52-4.13vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.31-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.76-1.31vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.15-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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6.57Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.87Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.11Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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9.84Middlebury College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 12.4% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 24.4% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 15.1% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 40.3% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.