Race 2C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 12.9% 11.0% 13.9% 11.3% 10.3% 10.6% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 4.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Christopher Jensen 6.4% 7.6% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 10.2% 10.5% 9.8% 8.4% 7.6% 7.9% 5.0% 2.0%
Mackenzie Needham 5.5% 7.7% 7.1% 9.4% 6.4% 9.1% 10.2% 9.1% 9.5% 11.0% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3%
Reid Secondo 3.1% 5.6% 5.2% 5.3% 6.8% 8.2% 7.3% 9.4% 8.5% 11.6% 12.4% 11.2% 5.4%
Christopher Ford 13.5% 12.4% 11.8% 12.7% 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 6.5% 5.7% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.1%
Thomas Gallagher 3.9% 4.9% 4.3% 6.4% 5.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.3% 10.4% 11.3% 11.6% 10.8% 8.2%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.4% 2.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 6.3% 6.5% 9.1% 16.7% 38.6%
OJ O'Connell 24.2% 20.9% 15.3% 11.7% 11.1% 8.2% 3.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 6.8% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 10.3% 7.1% 8.6% 9.9% 10.4% 8.2% 8.5% 7.1% 3.5%
Nicholas Arabia 10.6% 8.0% 10.5% 9.6% 10.8% 9.1% 6.9% 9.5% 9.8% 6.2% 5.6% 2.3% 1.1%
Peter Kerby-Miller 1.6% 2.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 7.4% 10.4% 14.3% 18.0% 18.6%
Bennett Capozzi 7.9% 8.1% 10.9% 8.5% 9.2% 9.4% 10.8% 8.4% 9.0% 7.9% 5.4% 3.5% 1.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.9% 4.4% 3.5% 6.9% 7.4% 7.4% 10.5% 12.3% 17.3% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.