Race 3C

greater-boston-oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christopher Ford 12.1% 10.7% 13.5% 10.9% 11.4% 9.4% 10.1% 7.6% 6.5% 3.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3%
OJ O'Connell 22.9% 22.4% 14.4% 13.6% 8.2% 7.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Kerby-Miller 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 7.5% 7.7% 11.4% 13.1% 18.1% 21.3%
Thomas Gallagher 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 8.4% 9.6% 9.2% 10.1% 13.9% 12.1% 7.4%
Mackenzie Needham 6.9% 7.2% 7.6% 9.7% 8.5% 8.7% 8.0% 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 1.8%
Peter Christensen 7.3% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.4% 9.5% 10.1% 8.1% 10.2% 10.1% 7.7% 6.2% 2.6%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 2.8% 4.5% 6.8% 7.2% 9.8% 16.7% 37.6%
Bennett Capozzi 8.1% 8.6% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 8.5% 10.6% 10.0% 8.6% 6.3% 4.5% 3.1% 0.8%
Reid Secondo 4.8% 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 9.2% 10.2% 11.8% 10.3% 9.7% 8.0%
Christopher Jensen 7.8% 7.5% 8.5% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.4% 8.4% 8.7% 8.9% 7.7% 5.2% 1.7%
Henry Dumke 12.6% 14.5% 13.0% 11.8% 10.6% 10.5% 8.0% 6.6% 4.8% 3.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.1% 3.0% 2.5% 3.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.4% 6.9% 6.2% 10.9% 14.3% 18.4% 17.2%
Nicholas Arabia 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 9.6% 10.7% 9.8% 10.5% 8.8% 9.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.