Race 4C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mackenzie Needham 6.9% 5.9% 8.0% 9.4% 8.9% 7.2% 8.2% 11.9% 10.1% 7.8% 8.0% 5.6% 2.1%
Christopher Ford 10.5% 12.3% 11.8% 12.2% 12.4% 9.9% 8.9% 7.0% 6.6% 4.7% 1.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Thomas Gallagher 3.2% 4.4% 3.7% 5.6% 6.5% 6.4% 8.7% 7.8% 9.9% 12.7% 13.6% 10.2% 7.3%
OJ O'Connell 25.4% 20.2% 15.3% 11.7% 9.2% 6.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Reid Secondo 5.2% 4.9% 5.3% 6.4% 7.8% 6.2% 6.9% 8.0% 11.2% 11.1% 11.4% 10.6% 5.0%
Christopher Jensen 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 8.8% 7.9% 10.0% 9.7% 9.9% 8.4% 8.5% 7.1% 4.8% 1.8%
Peter Christensen 7.4% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 6.0% 9.4% 8.5% 10.3% 10.0% 10.1% 8.9% 5.4% 2.3%
Henry Dumke 11.2% 14.2% 12.0% 10.0% 12.7% 10.3% 9.5% 7.4% 5.5% 3.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Bennett Capozzi 8.2% 8.5% 9.9% 9.1% 8.9% 10.8% 10.5% 9.9% 6.8% 7.4% 6.3% 2.9% 0.8%
Nicholas Arabia 9.7% 9.0% 10.5% 10.4% 9.3% 10.1% 8.9% 8.0% 8.3% 5.8% 5.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Peter Kerby-Miller 2.5% 1.7% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 5.7% 8.4% 10.4% 12.9% 19.4% 18.1%
Zachary Karakouzian 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 5.9% 6.1% 9.1% 17.6% 41.4%
MacKenzie MacRae 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 3.8% 5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 11.1% 12.5% 17.6% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.