Race 5C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
OJ O'Connell 23.9% 19.2% 16.7% 11.9% 9.5% 8.3% 4.1% 2.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 6.4% 7.1% 8.5% 8.0% 9.8% 9.2% 10.2% 8.4% 10.1% 9.4% 7.1% 3.7% 2.1%
Christopher Ford 9.8% 13.7% 13.0% 11.2% 9.9% 10.4% 11.0% 7.1% 5.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Henry Dumke 12.8% 11.6% 12.7% 13.2% 9.8% 9.8% 7.8% 8.0% 6.4% 4.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4%
Nicholas Arabia 9.4% 10.2% 8.7% 10.7% 10.5% 8.9% 8.4% 11.9% 6.3% 6.6% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
Peter Kerby-Miller 1.9% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 2.5% 4.0% 6.0% 5.8% 8.3% 8.4% 13.0% 19.5% 20.9%
Bennett Capozzi 9.9% 9.3% 9.9% 8.0% 9.6% 10.4% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 7.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
Thomas Gallagher 3.8% 5.6% 4.0% 5.6% 5.4% 6.2% 7.8% 8.7% 10.6% 11.0% 12.2% 12.4% 6.7%
Mackenzie Needham 6.9% 5.7% 7.4% 8.0% 9.7% 8.0% 9.5% 9.3% 11.1% 8.4% 7.4% 6.5% 2.1%
Peter Christensen 7.6% 5.6% 6.9% 7.6% 9.4% 9.5% 9.1% 8.7% 8.8% 9.6% 7.1% 7.3% 2.8%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.3% 2.4% 3.3% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 8.2% 11.3% 13.4% 15.8% 15.2%
Reid Secondo 4.1% 5.1% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 8.6% 10.6% 10.3% 12.6% 10.5% 7.2%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 7.7% 11.1% 17.0% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.