Race 6C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christopher Ford 12.1% 11.1% 12.1% 11.2% 11.7% 11.1% 7.9% 6.8% 6.7% 5.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Henry Dumke 11.5% 12.6% 11.0% 13.0% 11.9% 10.3% 8.1% 6.8% 6.3% 3.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Nicholas Arabia 7.4% 8.7% 11.3% 9.9% 9.6% 9.4% 10.7% 9.2% 8.7% 6.4% 5.0% 2.9% 0.8%
OJ O'Connell 23.9% 21.0% 15.4% 12.3% 9.8% 7.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Bennett Capozzi 9.9% 9.0% 10.3% 8.7% 9.0% 10.3% 10.1% 9.0% 8.0% 6.6% 5.3% 3.2% 0.6%
Mackenzie Needham 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 7.8% 10.6% 10.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 1.7%
Christopher Jensen 7.9% 8.6% 8.2% 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 10.5% 9.0% 9.4% 8.1% 6.9% 5.6% 1.3%
Reid Secondo 4.8% 5.6% 4.8% 6.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.6% 10.0% 10.3% 11.3% 10.5% 10.9% 5.3%
Peter Christensen 5.7% 6.2% 6.6% 8.1% 8.6% 8.2% 9.4% 9.0% 11.2% 9.2% 8.4% 6.1% 3.3%
Thomas Gallagher 5.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 6.6% 9.8% 9.4% 11.4% 11.5% 10.9% 8.7%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.3% 2.4% 3.7% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 4.4% 6.7% 9.3% 11.8% 14.3% 14.6% 15.0%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 4.4% 6.0% 11.5% 18.3% 39.5%
Peter Kerby-Miller 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 3.2% 4.8% 5.4% 6.0% 6.1% 10.7% 12.5% 19.4% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.