Race 7C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 11.5% 12.9% 13.2% 12.0% 7.9% 11.6% 8.8% 7.4% 7.5% 3.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Christopher Ford 11.2% 12.3% 12.2% 12.1% 10.9% 10.3% 7.9% 8.3% 5.9% 3.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.7%
OJ O'Connell 24.1% 18.4% 15.8% 13.4% 9.5% 8.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 6.9% 8.2% 7.0% 8.2% 9.3% 8.7% 10.2% 9.4% 9.1% 8.5% 8.7% 4.3% 1.5%
Thomas Gallagher 4.2% 4.8% 4.6% 5.1% 6.6% 7.3% 6.9% 9.1% 8.3% 12.2% 12.1% 11.7% 7.1%
Nicholas Arabia 9.4% 8.5% 10.8% 9.7% 11.8% 8.7% 10.1% 7.7% 8.4% 6.4% 5.0% 2.9% 0.6%
Mackenzie Needham 7.7% 6.7% 9.0% 6.8% 8.0% 8.9% 9.2% 11.5% 9.5% 8.3% 7.0% 5.4% 2.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.1% 4.1% 3.4% 2.5% 4.7% 4.2% 5.6% 7.4% 8.7% 10.1% 13.1% 19.6% 14.5%
Bennett Capozzi 9.4% 7.9% 9.1% 10.2% 9.9% 9.8% 8.6% 8.7% 8.2% 8.4% 4.9% 3.1% 1.8%
Peter Kerby-Miller 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 5.4% 7.4% 7.4% 9.6% 11.8% 18.2% 21.8%
Peter Christensen 5.7% 7.9% 7.1% 8.2% 8.4% 9.1% 11.1% 8.7% 10.0% 9.4% 7.9% 4.1% 2.4%
Reid Secondo 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 6.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 6.8% 10.3% 11.6% 13.3% 10.4% 7.3%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 5.0% 7.3% 11.2% 17.5% 40.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.