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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+3.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.99+4.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+1.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.42+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+2.88vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+0.61vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08-2.04vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-3.76vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.59vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32-0.41vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.77-1.82vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.60-5.41vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.65-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Stanford University2.9316.4%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University1.998.6%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.9213.5%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.479.3%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University2.426.6%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.104.4%1st Place
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7.45Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College2.087.3%1st Place
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6.24Connecticut College2.2910.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.5%1st Place
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11.59Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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11.18Northwestern University0.771.6%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College1.604.5%1st Place
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12.69Northeastern University0.650.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 23.3% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 17.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Carter Brock | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 19.6% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.