Race 8C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 12.4% 11.8% 12.6% 11.5% 11.0% 9.6% 9.3% 7.9% 4.9% 5.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4%
OJ O'Connell 23.9% 19.1% 17.2% 12.6% 10.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Ford 10.4% 13.2% 12.5% 10.5% 10.5% 11.3% 8.5% 9.2% 5.5% 4.4% 2.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Mackenzie Needham 5.9% 7.6% 6.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.9% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% 8.8% 8.2% 4.5% 2.6%
Bennett Capozzi 9.2% 9.4% 9.9% 10.1% 8.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.8% 8.0% 7.4% 5.4% 2.9% 0.8%
Nicholas Arabia 9.4% 8.7% 11.4% 8.8% 10.9% 9.0% 10.6% 8.1% 7.8% 6.5% 4.9% 3.0% 0.9%
Thomas Gallagher 5.3% 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 6.9% 6.1% 5.8% 8.3% 10.4% 11.1% 14.2% 11.3% 6.4%
Reid Secondo 4.5% 6.1% 4.5% 6.0% 5.4% 6.4% 8.5% 10.6% 10.0% 11.1% 11.3% 9.8% 5.8%
Christopher Jensen 7.4% 6.4% 7.3% 10.1% 8.8% 8.8% 9.9% 9.7% 9.3% 8.3% 7.0% 4.7% 2.3%
Peter Christensen 6.6% 7.5% 5.8% 8.4% 8.4% 9.3% 9.3% 8.7% 9.7% 8.5% 7.4% 6.5% 3.9%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 6.4% 8.5% 11.7% 17.6% 34.4%
Peter Kerby-Miller 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 9.3% 13.2% 18.7% 23.7%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 3.5% 5.0% 6.1% 5.2% 10.7% 9.5% 12.0% 18.2% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.