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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+8.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+3.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.94vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+0.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+1.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.65+6.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+0.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99-1.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-2.83vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.47vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.60-2.40vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32-0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-4.47vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.42-6.86vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.77-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University2.4710.2%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.9213.6%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University2.9315.2%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.087.2%1st Place
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12.61Northeastern University0.651.2%1st Place
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7.44Old Dominion University1.817.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University1.998.2%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College2.299.8%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.8%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College1.604.7%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.321.9%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University2.427.4%1st Place
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11.03Northwestern University0.771.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 15.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Carter Brock | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 43.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 22.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.