Race 9C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 12.0% 13.1% 12.2% 11.4% 10.9% 10.2% 9.0% 6.6% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Bennett Capozzi 8.1% 8.6% 11.2% 8.4% 10.5% 10.1% 8.7% 11.0% 6.9% 7.5% 4.5% 3.4% 1.1%
OJ O'Connell 24.4% 19.4% 15.3% 14.0% 9.5% 7.2% 4.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Christopher Jensen 6.7% 8.0% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 8.9% 8.5% 10.0% 10.5% 7.5% 7.9% 5.0% 1.8%
Reid Secondo 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% 6.8% 6.3% 7.5% 9.3% 6.5% 11.5% 10.8% 10.4% 10.3% 5.7%
Mackenzie Needham 7.0% 6.9% 6.9% 9.0% 8.5% 9.5% 10.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.3% 7.6% 5.9% 2.3%
Christopher Ford 12.4% 12.1% 12.8% 11.1% 10.9% 9.6% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 4.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Nicholas Arabia 8.7% 9.7% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 10.9% 9.5% 10.8% 7.1% 6.5% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 7.3% 7.9% 9.5% 14.3% 16.1% 19.0%
Thomas Gallagher 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 8.0% 7.2% 10.2% 12.3% 11.7% 11.4% 7.9%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.6% 4.8% 4.7% 6.0% 8.5% 11.7% 16.7% 35.3%
Peter Kerby-Miller 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 4.1% 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 8.7% 13.7% 19.6% 22.1%
Peter Christensen 5.5% 6.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.8% 8.2% 8.4% 10.4% 10.3% 10.5% 8.1% 6.6% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.