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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+2.80vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+4.13vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+2.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.99+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+2.61vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+1.61vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.19vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.65+3.62vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10-1.07vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-4.82vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-4.37vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.32-1.36vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-2.98vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Yale University2.9214.4%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University2.9314.6%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.428.6%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College2.087.2%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University1.998.3%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont1.584.5%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College1.604.1%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.4710.5%1st Place
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12.62Northeastern University0.651.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island2.104.1%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College2.298.7%1st Place
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7.63Old Dominion University1.816.0%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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11.02Northwestern University0.771.9%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 41.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 24.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.